Showing posts with label Fibonacci Price Ratios. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fibonacci Price Ratios. Show all posts

Sunday, January 7, 2024

S&P 500 Weekly Reversal │ Robert Miner

December 29, 2023 = weekly high.

After a 9-week bull streak, the first week of 2024 closed lower = strong weekly momentum reversal.

January 05, 2024:

Expect some sideways-to-up move into around January 11-12 (Thu-Fri) before the continuation of a weekly bear trend.

Thursday, April 7, 2016

German DAX vs Lunar Year Cycle + 4 Lunar Month Cycle + Fib Ratios

In the US-Stock Indices the following High-Low-sequence is likely:
Apr 07-10 (Fri-Mon) LOW, Apr 12 (Tue) HIGH, Apr 14 (Thu) LOW, Apr 22-25 (Fri-Mon) HIGH

Friday, November 27, 2015

Soybeans - Time and Price Near Major Low

Up-swings in the 30 Year Long-Term Commodity Cycle last for about 10 years, down-swings 20 years. Soybeans topped in this cycle in 2012 and
should decline into 2030. On a medium-term scale the average advance lasts 29 months, declines 16 months. Soybeans have been declining 38
months from the top, losing 53% of the value. The swing-chart shows that declines of 50% + are followed by rallies of 80% +. A 7 year
low-to-low cycle also points to January 2016. A likely price target would be 809, the 0.707 Fibonacci retracement level. If this is correct,
Soybeans should move back up to 1,418 +.

Saturday, November 7, 2015

SPX vs Inverted 4 Lunar Month Cycle

At times inversions in the 4 Lunar Year Cycle overlap with inversions in the Lunar Year Cycle and 4 Lunar Month Cycle. The result is conflict
and confusion in the short-term Delta count. The problem with the above inverted Delta count for the SPX is of course that the Russell 2000
closed the last week on a high. The Delta count for the Russell 2000 suggests a continuation of the up-move into Nov 11 (Wed) followed by a
decline into Nov 23 (Mon). This outlook is supported by the 4 lunar month rotation in the VIX where stochastics hint to further decline. Nov
11 is also New Moon and a turn day in the SoLunar Map. Again, a high in the SoLunar Map usually corresponds with a short-term stock market low.
Erin Heim (Nov 05, 2015) - The S&P 100 (OEX) just received a new Long-Term Trend Model BUY signal.
This signal generated when the 50-EMA crossed back above the 200-EMA.
The Annual Cycle, the Presidential Cycle, and the Decennial Cycle are all strong into mid December, while the latter two project a major low
in Q1 2016 followed by new market highs. This would be in line with Louise McWhirter's Theory of Stock Market Forecasting.

Thursday, November 5, 2015

German DAX vs Inverted 4 Lunar Month Cycle

However, the Nasdaq dropped only by -0.1% or -2.65 points on Nov 4 (Wed) while the RASI was still rising, and Thomas Bulkowski
remarks: Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 541 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's: Average
gain was 0.7% on 295 occasions. Average loss was -0.9% on 246 occasions. Expect the index to close higher 54.5% [on Nov 5].
Tekkie Suresh: "Rahu getting involved with Venus and Mars, points to a trough around November mid month, Should see  a recovery thereafter."
Jeff Hirsch (Nov 3, 2015) - In the most recent 21-year period spanning 1994 to 2014, November opens strong, peaks around the fourth
trading day, trades lower till the eighth trading day, bounces mid-month, moves sideway to down during the week before Thanksgiving
then higher to close out the month with gains ranging from just under 1.5% for Russell 2000 to over 2% for DJIA.

Sunday, October 25, 2015

SPX vs Fibonacci Time-Price Relations

Sideways to down into Nov 02 (Tue) filling the gap around 2,056? DOWN Mon-Tue-Wed Oct 26-28 (Full Moon), UP Thur-Fri Oct 29-30,
DOWN Mon-Tues Nov 2-3? Afterwards UP to higher high in the second half of November?